Weekly Preview (Playoff Edition): BMW Championship

BMW Championship FedExCup

Brofessional Golfer’s Weekly Preview: BMW Championship

September 8th – 11th

Crooked Stick Golf Club

Carmel, Indiana

 

How and When to Watch:

Live TV Coverage:

Thursday and Friday:

Golf Channel 3:00-7:00 PM E.T.

Saturday

NBC 12:00-3:30 PM  

Golf Channel 3:30-6:00 PM E.T.

Sunday

Golf Channel 12:00-2:00 PM E.T.

NBC 2:00-6:00 PM E.T.

 

Past 5 Winners:

2015 – Jason Day

2014 – Billy Horschel

2013 – Zach Johnson

2012 – Rory McIlroy

2011 – Justin Rose

 

Purse: $8,500,000

Winning Share: $1,530,000

FedEx Points: 2,000

 

Analysis

Guess who’s back…Back again…Rory’s back, tell a friend. After a somewhat dismal season for the former #1 player in the world, Rory shot himself back onto the top of the golf world with an impressive weekend at the Deutsche Bank Championship. Rory came from 6 shots back on Sunday to win, the largest deficit he’s overcome for victory in his career. While the rest of the contenders on Sunday faded away like your summer golf tan, Rory calmly and confidently snagged the trophy and looks to have maybe regained his form from 2012-14 when he was actually dominant. Coincidentally enough, the last time Rory won at TPC Boston, he followed that up with a win at Crooked Stick the following weekend. Will history repeat itself in 2016? Rory sure hopes so.

Rory McIlroy BMW Championship 2014

Rory has long been the leader of the “Next Generation” of great golfers, he is the first of the “Big 4” and with the emergence of Jordan Speith and Jason Day in the last two years, Rory has somewhat been lost in the mix. Some attribute this to his intense gym regimen, however I look back at one critical mistake that has led to his struggles. In May 2014, Rory ended his engagement with the smoking hot Danish professional tennis player, Caroline Wozniacki.

Rory ended 2014 with 3 PGA Tour wins and 4 wins on the European Tour, 2015 he won 2 PGA events and 3 European Events, 2016 he has only one 1 PGA event and 1 European Event… Pretty clear to me that the man has been in a steep decline since he let go of a fresh catch like Wozniacki. This Brofessional is going to be attending her match at the US Open tonight with the hopes of sweeping her off her feet, or maybe just slime my way into a #selfie. Nine holes and chill?

caroline wozniacki

Now on to the BMW Championship bros! The third leg of the FedExCup Playoffs. Crooked Stick is a 7,516 yard track with a par of 72, which naturally favors good iron play. Rory (+500) clearly has the best odds given his current circumstances. The players who have been struggling off the tee of late, Jason Day (+700) (76th on tour in strokes gained off the tee) and Jordan Speith (+1400) who has never been a great driver of the ball, should still have a good chance here.

Crooked Stick was the host of the 1991 PGA Championship, which was won by a true American hero, John Daly who shot -12 for the tournament to win by 3 strokes. As I said earlier, Rory won here the only other time Crooked Stick has been home to the BMW Championship in 2012. He did so with a score of -20 and won by 2 strokes over Phil Mickelson and Lee Westwood. Designed by Pete and Alice Dye, this course is your typical Pete Dye course with small greens, short but challenging par 4’s, and deep tantalizing bunkers. Such a classic Dye setup for you golf architecture nerds out there.

The field will be made up of the top 69 players left in the chase for the FedExCup as Henrik Stenson is sitting out again due to injury. Dustin Johnson (+850) and Adam Scott (+1600) both did well here in 2012 and both finished T6 at -16. Both are great picks to win this week, however if you are looking for betting advice, consider Phil Mickelson at (+3500) who is a wizard around the greens and came in 2nd here in 2012. Also down the odds list, take a gander at Gary Woodland (+5000), who is an excellent iron player. Lastly, Kevin Chappell (+5000) has been sneaky good this year with three 2nd place finishes this year and seven top 10’s.

Anyone see Justin Rose’s debacle of a final round at the Deutsche Bank Championship? Well it was ugly. After his third round Saturday, the one and only Schank was seen taking this picture with Justin.

 

 

 

 

 

 

A photo posted by BrofessionalGolfer.com (@brofessionalgolfer) on

 

 

 

 

 

I’m thinking Schank said or did something to get in his head. And hey, I respect it, we are almost in Ryder Cup season so set the rule book aside and F%$@ Europe.

Justin Rose is (+2200) at the BMW, but after what he did Monday, I’m not touching him with a 10 foot crooked stick.

My pick for the BMW Championship is my favorite golfer, Jordan Speith. He hasn’t had as great a year as in 2015, but who has? 2015 for Speith was one of the most dominant years any golfer has ever had. The thing about Jordan is, he is so consistent. He has played 20 events this season and has finished in the top 30 in 16 of those events. Had he not choked at the Masters, he would likely be in the discussion for player of the year, instead he is having a “bad year”. Jordan likely won’t shoot a low 60 any round at Crooked Stick, but I see him shooting mid to high 60’s easily every round which should give him a score in the ballpark of -15 to -20. As long as he can get on a roll with the flat stick, no one is going to beat him.

 

Brofessional Staff "Expert" Picks

Tuck – Jordan Spieth

Schank – Jimmy Walker

Rico Dangles – Patrick Reed

The People's Golfer – Jason Day

Neves – Adam Scott

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